What Fade answers, and what it won’t
The rule cuts both ways — 8 things Fade will tell you, and 11 it won’t, each because it was built or tested and the evidence said no.
8
things Fade does
Every one of them is computed in your league’s own scoring — not a generic average.
- League scoringYour league’s own scoring rules, reproduced exactly, so every figure is in your points and not a generic PPR.
- RankingsWhere a player sits against everyone else at his position, at this week’s prices.
- Start/SitWhen one of your starters is ruled out, who on your bench should take the seat.
- AvailabilityWhether a player is actually going to play, read from his official designation rather than a guess.
- WaiversWho to add from the waiver wire, and which player on your roster makes room for him.
- Multi-league aggregationEvery league you have connected in one place, worst one first.
- Matchup surfaceWhere your matchup stands and how the two rosters compare position by position.
- Defence streamingWhich defence to start this week.
And 11 it deliberately doesn’t
- Draft grade — A grade for your draft. Fade’s own draft model did worse than simply following where everyone else was drafting, so there is no grade worth giving.
- Playoff forecast — Your odds of making the playoffs. The version that was built forecast nothing — it was hindsight wearing a percentage.
- Matchup difficulty — How tough this week’s matchup is. Player prices already carry the game they are in; adding the matchup on top made the answer worse.
- Trades — Whether a trade helps you. Fade’s trade evaluation could not beat simply adding up the points on each side, so it does not pretend to.
- Rest-of-season projection — What a player will do over the rest of the season. Nobody kept a record of past rest-of-season estimates, so there is no way to check whether one is any good.
- Strength of schedule — How hard your remaining schedule is. Defensive strength does not carry from one week to the next, so adding it up does not make a schedule.
- Player trends — Whether a player is trending up or down. A hot streak one week did not carry into the next, so the line would be decoration.
- Breakout / bust flags — Who is about to break out. Nothing Fade tried predicted one better than just reading what the market already thought.
- Buy low / sell high — Who to buy low on. A price call needs a trade valuation, and Fade’s could not beat simply adding up the points on each side.
- Trade finder — Trades worth proposing. It needs a trade valuation Fade does not have, for the same reason it will not value the trades you are offered.
- Rookie intelligence — Which rookies to chase. A rookie call needs signals the market does not already price, and none that Fade tested held up on players it had not seen.